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Kooky
Builder of Shaka, the payment router that pays every agent their commission on closing date.
About Kooky and Shaka →The Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate target at 4.35 per cent on Tuesday 16 June, the first time this year it has met without lifting it. The Bank's statement says the decision of the Monetary Policy Board was unanimous.
For anyone planning to bid at a Queensland auction, the pause removes one moving part for now. It does not make borrowing cheaper than it was a week ago, and the board has kept the option of a further rise.
Sources: Reserve Bank of Australia, monetary policy decision of 16 June 2026; Cotality preliminary auction results released 15 June 2026.
The first pause of 2026
The cash rate began the year at 3.60 per cent. The board raised it by a quarter of a percentage point at each of its three earlier meetings in 2026, which took it to 4.35 per cent.
| Meeting | Decision | Cash rate target |
|---|---|---|
| 2 and 3 February | Up 0.25 points | 3.85% |
| 16 and 17 March | Up 0.25 points | 4.10% |
| 4 and 5 May | Up 0.25 points | 4.35% |
| 15 and 16 June | No change | 4.35% |
Source: Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy statements and published 2026 meeting schedule.
The votes behind those decisions were not all alike. The February increase was unanimous, the Bank's statement of 3 February says. In May, eight members voted to raise the rate and one voted to leave it unchanged. This week all members agreed to hold.
The major banks had all expected a hold, according to Broker Daily. They differ on what follows. Westpac, whose economists said on 9 June that they expected a pause in mid-June followed by further increases at later meetings, forecasts two more rises, in August and September, Broker Daily reports. NAB said on 9 June that the rate had probably reached its peak for this cycle. Those are forecasts, and they point in opposite directions.
What the board said
The statement sets out why the board stopped where it did. Financial conditions are tighter after three increases, with interest rates and bond yields higher and the exchange rate stronger, and growth in consumer spending is slowing as the board had anticipated. Against that, it says inflation is still too high, both on the headline measure and the underlying one.
Related readAuction or private treaty in Queensland: how the two methods differOil is the main complication. The board says disruption to oil supply linked to the conflict in the Middle East is pushing inflation up through fuel costs, and that it wants to stop that pressure becoming embedded once the direct effect has passed. It judged it appropriate to leave the rate unchanged while it assesses how the economy is responding to the earlier rises.
Two lines in the statement concern housing directly. The board notes that momentum in the housing market has shifted, with housing prices falling in some capital cities. It also says credit remains readily available to both households and businesses. In other words, the Bank sees the cooler market as a matter of price and demand, not of lenders closing the door.
The closing paragraph keeps the bias where it was. The board says it will do what it considers necessary to bring inflation back to target, including increasing the cash rate target further if required.
Where Brisbane's auctions stand
The decision lands in the weakest stretch for Brisbane auctions since 2020. Cotality's final figures put the city's clearance rate at 34.1 per cent for the week ending 7 June, its lowest in six years, with 56.3 per cent of auctions passed in.
Last week's early reading was better. Of the 112 results collected from 144 auctions in the week ending 14 June, 47 were sales, a preliminary clearance rate of 42.0 per cent. It was still the fourth week in a row under 50 per cent. On the Gold Coast the early rate was 36.8 per cent from 38 results, and on the Sunshine Coast 38.5 per cent from 13.
Related readAUSTRAC spells out how identity checks work when a home sells at auctionThe softness is national. Across the combined capitals, Cotality's final clearance rate for the week ending 7 June was 47.3 per cent, the second week in a row under 50 per cent and well below the decade average of 64 per cent the firm cites. Last week's early capital city figure was 54.0 per cent, the third in succession under 55 per cent.
The Bank's statement does not name the cities where prices are falling, and the auction figures measure something different in any case: how often a seller's reserve and a bidder's limit met on the day.
The three rate rises are one likely reason they have met less often. Each one reduces the amount a lender will advance against the same income, so a bidder approved in January may be working with a lower limit in June. Cotality made the same connection in its release of 1 June, listing three interest rate rises beside affordability and consumer sentiment as the headwinds facing demand.
A hold changes none of those at once. A buyer's borrowing limit after the decision is the same as it was before it. What changes is the risk that the limit shrinks again between a pre-approval and auction day.
What households expected before the decision
The most recent survey of household mood was taken two weeks before the meeting. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index, surveyed from 1 to 5 June and released on 9 June, fell 2.9 per cent to 80.6.
Its mortgage rate expectations index eased 4.8 per cent to 172.6, a level at which, the release says, roughly two thirds of respondents still expected rates to rise over the next 12 months. A pause is therefore better news than many borrowers were braced for, without being the cut that would raise borrowing capacity.
Related readMore Brisbane auctions, same result: 164 homes and 35.4 per centThe survey's housing measures moved in opposite directions. The house price expectations index fell 14.9 per cent to 128.2, and Queensland's component fell 15 per cent to 141. The "time to buy a dwelling" index rose 12.6 per cent to 81.1, from 72.0 in May. Fewer people expect prices to climb, and slightly more think the moment to buy is improving. The next survey will be the first to capture reaction to the hold.
Why rate timing matters more at auction
The risk of a shrinking limit carries more weight at an auction than in a private sale, because of how Queensland auction contracts work.
An auction purchase cannot be made subject to finance
The Queensland Government's guidance for buyers says bids at auction are unconditional and there is no cooling-off period. The successful bidder signs the contract immediately and must settle, whatever happens to their loan afterwards.
In a private treaty sale, a buyer can usually ask for a finance condition and has a cooling-off period. At auction, the same government guidance says a buyer who was a registered bidder and buys the home within two business days of an unsuccessful auction also has no cooling-off period. It lists the consequences for a buyer who cannot complete as serious: the full amount bid remains owing, along with the cost of re-auctioning the property and any shortfall if it then sells for less.
So a bidder needs to know their real borrowing limit before raising a hand, and a change in lending conditions during a four-week campaign matters. With the cash rate steady until at least the board's next meeting, that number is less likely to move during a campaign that ends before then. How any one lender treats a particular application depends on the borrower's circumstances.
For sellers the effect is indirect. A reserve is set with an eye to what buyers can pay, and three rises between February and May had made that a moving target. The state government's guidance for sellers notes that an agent can provide a comparative market analysis of similar nearby sales from the previous six months, and in a period of rising rates the older sales in such an analysis were struck when buyers could borrow more. A stretch of unchanged rates makes those comparisons a little more reliable.
The dates that follow
The Reserve Bank's published schedule shows the next Monetary Policy Board meeting on 10 and 11 August, eight weeks away. Auction campaigns that begin this week will be finished well before it.
Sellers have kept using the method through the soft patch. Cotality counted 144 Brisbane auctions last week, 13.4 per cent more than in the same week a year earlier. The firm expects around 1,950 capital city auctions this week and about 1,780 the next, as winter volumes ease.
The final clearance rates for the week ending 14 June are due on Thursday 18 June, and they will be the first to show whether the mid-June improvement held once late results are counted. The first full week of auctions held after the decision ends on 21 June, with Cotality's early count due the following Monday.